Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.057552 0.065319 0.073264 0.081966 0.091199 0.100677 0.111115
2025-09-14 0.045853 0.057301 0.069576 0.083580 0.098986 0.115303 0.133783
2025-09-21 0.039489 0.053405 0.068894 0.087104 0.107648 0.129869 0.155491
2025-09-28 0.033530 0.048945 0.066713 0.088168 0.112898 0.140106 0.171930
2025-10-05 0.032123 0.049483 0.069978 0.095160 0.124584 0.157301 0.195900
2025-10-12 0.027096 0.045004 0.066846 0.094304 0.126945 0.163717 0.207559
2025-10-19 0.024040 0.042661 0.066016 0.095930 0.131978 0.173006 0.222314
2025-10-26 0.020913 0.039883 0.064384 0.096367 0.135433 0.180333 0.234711
2025-11-02 0.018605 0.037972 0.063666 0.097772 0.139916 0.188759 0.248286
2025-11-09 0.016058 0.035443 0.061947 0.097768 0.142573 0.194945 0.259190
2025-11-16 0.012864 0.031567 0.058164 0.094924 0.141586 0.196687 0.264794
2025-11-23 0.010210 0.028163 0.054771 0.092380 0.140806 0.198546 0.270423
2025-11-30 0.008699 0.026541 0.053899 0.093256 0.144490 0.206022 0.283024
2025-12-07 0.007579 0.025459 0.053749 0.095079 0.149391 0.215022 0.297519
2025-12-14 0.007054 0.025401 0.055069 0.098869 0.156787 0.227058 0.315642
2025-12-21 0.005997 0.024143 0.054494 0.100011 0.160753 0.234887 0.328729
2025-12-28 0.006382 0.025859 0.058499 0.107490 0.172900 0.252757 0.353866
2026-01-04 0.005052 0.023768 0.056504 0.106575 0.174154 0.257223 0.362905
2026-01-11 0.004371 0.022955 0.056441 0.108312 0.178815 0.265862 0.376946
2026-01-18 0.003566 0.021664 0.055523 0.108779 0.181776 0.272370 0.388397
2026-01-25 0.003014 0.020870 0.055357 0.110279 0.186068 0.280516 0.401820
2026-02-01 0.002340 0.019534 0.054191 0.110274 0.188325 0.286092 0.412100
2026-02-08 0.001465 0.017153 0.051042 0.107237 0.186437 0.286392 0.415879